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Indian stock market and companies daily report (January 04, 2012, Wednesday)

2012-01-03T23:08:00.001-08:00

Indian markets are expected to open in the green following positive cues from the European markets and the Asian markets. Asian stocks trading in the green after U.S. manufacturing increased at the fastest pace in six months. Indian shares rallied on Tuesday as inflation worries seem to be abating and the Reserve Bank of India said it might ease monetary policy to address concerns about economic growth.
The US markets ended in the green as markets benefited from positive reactions to the latest batch of economic data. The early rally on Wall Street was partly due to the release of a report showing a modest rebound in Chinese manufacturing activity in the month of December. A separate report showing a notable drop in German unemployment also generated some buying interest. Stocks saw continued strength following the release of a report from the Institute for Supply Management showing that its index of activity in the U.S. manufacturing sector rose to a six-month high in December.

Markets Today
The trend deciding level for the day is 15,850/4,738 levels. If NIFTY trades above this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally up to 16,060 – 16,180/4,800– 4,835 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below 15,850/4,738 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to 15,730 – 15,520/4,703 – 4,641 levels.

Cement Dispatches – December 2011
Ambuja Cements’ dispatches stood at 1.93mn tonnes for December 2011, up by modest 5.7% yoy on a high base of last year. For CY2011, the company’s dispatches grew marginally by 4.2% to 20.96mn tonnes. During CY2010, the company added 2mtpa of capacity, post which its overall capacity stands at 27mtpa. We continue to remain Neutral on Ambuja Cements.

Reliance Industries gets nod to develop new D6 fields
The government has approved Reliance Industries' US$1.5bn plan to develop the new D6 block, which has the potential to produce additional 10mmscmd gas. RIL and, its partner, BP have four months to start work on the project as the KG D6 block faces adverse weather during the rest of the year. Until further clarity on the anticipated production from the block, we maintain our estimates and maintain our Buy rating on the stock with a target price of Rs.1,006.

HCC bags order worth Rs.289cr
Hindustan Construction Company (HCC) has received a Letter of Acceptance (LOA) for a Rs.289cr contract to construct a bulk water transmission system for Gujarat Water Infrastructure Limited, a Government of Gujarat Undertaking. The work involves construction of a 57km-long water transmission pipeline between Dhanki and Maliya villages under the Swarnim Gujarat Saurashtra-Kutch, Water Grid Programme. The project will be completed in 12 months. With this order, HCC’s outstanding order book now stands at ~Rs.16,967cr (4.1x FY2011 revenue). We maintain our Neutral view on the stock.

Economic and Political News
- DoT to demand Rs.1,593cr from companies for under-reporting revenue
- Government may okay Rs.300cr for marketing support to MSMEs
- Union Budget to be presented on March 16, 2012
- Companies Bill may be cleared in Budget session: Law Minister

Corporate News
- RIL to fund Network 18’s Eenandu stake buy
- IDFC to raise upto Rs.4,500cr via infra bonds
- Bajaj Auto unveils its first-ever four-wheeler, RE60, in New Delhi
- Suzlon Energy bags order to supply 57 wind turbines in the U.S.

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Indian stock market and companies daily report (January 03, 2012, Tuesday)

2012-01-02T23:27:00.000-08:00

Indian markets are expected to open in the green following positive cues from the European markets and the Asian markets. Asian stocks rose as manufacturing growth from Australia, China and India added to optimism that the region’s economies will withstand Europe’s unresolved sovereign debt crisis. Indian shares ended a choppy session modestly higher on Monday after the government said it would allow qualified foreign investors direct access to Indian stock markets from January 15. While the manufacturing PMI for India jumped to a six month high of 54.2, cheering investors, slowdown in exports to 3.9% yoy for the month of November restricted major upside movement in domestic equities. European stocks though kicked off the New Year in style on Monday, as the markets open for business rallied on hopes that 2012 will bring an end to the region's sovereign debt crisis. Also, German factory sector contracted less than initially estimated in December which led to further gains for European markets on Monday.

Markets Today

The trend deciding level for the day is 15,473/4,624 levels. If NIFTY trades above this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally up to 15,588 – 15,658/4,659 – 4,681 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below 15,473/4,624 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to 15,403 – 15,288/4,601 – 4,566 levels.

Auto sales update – December 2011

Maruti Suzuki (MSIL)

MSIL registered a 7.1% yoy (flat mom) decline in overall volumes to 92,161 units, led by weak performance in domestic markets. Domestic performance during the month witnessed a 13.4% yoy (6.5% mom) decline to 77,475 units, primarily due to subdued demand for passenger cars. Export volumes, however, overshadowed the weak domestic performance, as it recorded impressive 50.5% yoy (65% mom) growth to 14,686 units. The mini segment registered a decline of 15.6% yoy (flat mom), while the compact segment posted flat yoy (6.8% mom) growth. Production during the month was impacted, as the company’s plants were shut for six days in December on account of annual maintenance.

Hero MotoCorp (HMCL)

HMCL reported in-line growth of 7.8% yoy (0.7% mom) in total volumes to 540,276 units. New product launches and refreshed product ranges continued to support HMCL’s volume momentum across product segments. Management has indicated that it further intends to consolidate the company’s leadership position with new product launches and network expansion.

Bajaj Auto (BJAUT)

BJAUT posted lower-than-expected volumes for December 2011, led by moderate growth in the motorcycle segment. Total volumes recorded modest growth of 10.4% yoy (18.4% mom decline) to 305,690 units, primarily due to weak 8.2% yoy (substantial fall of 20.6% mom) growth in the motorcycle segment. Three-wheelers, on the other hand, sustained their strong momentum, reporting 26.8% yoy (down 1.2% mom) growth. Exports also maintained their growth trajectory, witnessing growth of 25.5% yoy (down 7.4% mom) in December 2011.

TVS Motor (TVSL)

TVSL reported poor numbers for December 2011, as total volumes declined by 0.8% yoy (2.9% mom) to 170,428 units. The weak performance can be attributed to slowdown in TVSL’s motorcycle segment, which declined by 7.7% yoy (9.5% mom). The scooters and mopeds segments also witnessed moderate growth of 7.2% (1.1% mom) and 2% yoy (flat mom), respectively, in December 2011. Three-wheeler volumes during the month fell steeply by 26.5% yoy (6.8% mom) to 2,523 units.

Govt. raises export duty on iron ore; Sesa Goa to be the worst hit

The government has raised export duty on iron ore to ad valorem 30% on lumps and fines, with effect from December 30, 2011, compared to 20% earlier. Iron ore exports from India have already declined by 25.2% to 35.4mn tonnes from April- October 2011 on account of export ban in Karnataka, stringent measures in issuing export permits in Odisha, a sharp decline in international iron ore price and increased export duty. Post the export duty hike, rise in rail freight and the recent iron ore price decline are expected to severely affect iron ore exports from India. Before the export duty hike (as per Federation of Indian Mineral Industries), total iron ore exports during FY2012 were estimated to be 60mn tonnes compared to its previous estimate of 75.0mn tonnes. We now expect iron ore exports to be lower than 60mn tonnes during FY2012.

We do not expect any impact on NMDC’s financials due to hike in export duty, as we do not anticipate any exports of iron ore by NMDC during FY2012 and FY2013. However, we have lowered Sesa Goa’s EBITDA estimates for FY2012 and FY2013 by 8.1% and 9.1% to Rs.3,314cr and Rs.3,712cr, respectively. Also, we believe some of the Karnataka iron ore would now be sold domestically. Nevertheless, we believe the current stock price discounts negatives such as acquisition of a minority stake in the unrelated oil business via acquisition of Cairn India’s stake, increased export duty, higher railway freight and lower volumes from Goa mines. We recommend Buy on the stock with an SOTP-based target price of Rs.195 (Rs.213 earlier).

L&T bags orders worth Rs.2,056cr

Larsen & Toubro's (L&T) construction arm has bagged new projects worth Rs.2,056cr across various categories in December 2011. Of these projects, two orders worth Rs.1,262cr in the water and effluent treatment segment was bagged by the company. In the buildings and factories category, a project worth Rs.388cr was bagged for constructing residential towers. In the rail infrastructure segment, orders aggregating to Rs.406cr have been grabbed from various clients. With these orders, the company’s outstanding order book stands at ~Rs.1,52,609cr (3.5x FY2011 revenue), providing good revenue visibility. This order booking takes the company’s total declared orders to ~Rs.10,420cr in 3QFY2012 against orders worth Rs.13,336cr received in 3QFY2011. The drying up of order inflows is one of the major concerns for the stock and has led to underperformance in the recent past.

At the CMP of Rs.1,009, the stock is trading at PE of 9.7x FY2013E earnings, after adjusting for investments, which is below the historical trading multiple for L&T and we believe factors in most of the negatives surrounding the stock. We have used the SOTP methodology to value the company to capture all its business initiatives and investments/stakes in the different businesses. Ascribing separate values to its parent business on a P/E basis and investments in subsidiaries on P/E, P/BV and mcap basis, our target price works out to Rs.1,453, which provides 44.0% upside from current levels. Hence, we maintain our Buy recommendation on the stock.

IVRCL bags orders worth Rs.732cr

IVRCL has bagged orders aggregating to Rs.732cr across the buildings, transportation, mining, water and solar power divisions. The company’s buildings division has secured orders worth Rs.404.6cr, including those from the Indian Institute of Science Education and Research, Bhopal; Indian Oil Corporation Ltd.; Jindal Steel & Power Ltd.; and National Institute of Biomedical genomics, West Bengal. While the transportation division secured an order worth Rs.251.4cr from Mahanadi Coalfields Ltd., the mining division bagged an order worth Rs.45.4cr from Hindustan Copper Ltd. Further, orders worth Rs.19.4cr and Rs.11.4cr have been bagged for water and solar power projects, respectively. With these orders, IVRCL’s order book stands at ~Rs.26,232cr (4.6x FY2011 revenue).

We have valued IVRCL on an SOTP basis. The company’s core construction business is valued at P/E of 6x FY2013E EPS of 4.6 (Rs.27.8/share), whereas its stake in subsidiaries, IVR Prime (Rs.10.9/share) and Hindustan Dorr-Oliver (Rs.2.9/share), has been valued on mcap basis, post assigning a 30% holding company discount. At the CMP of Rs.29, the stock is trading at 6.3x FY2013E EPS and 0.4x FY2013E P/BV on a standalone basis. Thus, on the back of the company’s robust order book-to-sales ratio (4.6x FY2011 revenue) and attractive valuations, we maintain our Buy view on the stock with a target price of Rs.42.

Economic and Political News
- November exports rise 3.9% to US$22.3bn yoy
- November imports rise 24.5% to US$35.9bn yoy
- No outside control must be imposed on media: PM

Corporate News
- ONGC to invest Rs.15,000cr in KG gas find
- Coal India expects higher revenue to offset wage hikes
- M&M tractor sales for December 2011 rise marginally

Share Market Update on Federal Bank for 1QFY2012

2011-09-08T01:55:00.000-07:00

Share Market Update on FederalBank for 1QFY2012 with a Buy recommendation and a Target Price of `478 (12 months).

For 1QFY2012, Federal Bank recorded net profit growth of 10.8% yoy (down 14.9% qoq), below our estimates, mostly due to higher provisioning expenses than built in by us. Management has attributed the rise in NPAs (slippages at `323cr) during the quarter to one-off employee-related issues, which led to a spurt in slippages in the retail book. Fee income according to management also suffered due to this one-off event. We recommend a Buy rating on the stock.

CASA ratio improves; however, asset-quality woes continue: For 1QFY2011, advances grew by 0.1% qoq to `31,972cr, while deposits declined by 0.2% qoq to `42,936cr. Although total deposits declined during the quarter, the bank was able to sequentially grow its savings and current account deposits by 3.5% and 4.2%, respectively, leading to a 96bp increase in CASA ratio to 27.2%. Including NRE deposits, total low-cost deposits constituted 32.8% of total deposits. Cost of deposits increased by 103bp qoq, leading to a 13bp qoq decline in reported NIM to 3.9%. Slippages for 1QFY2012 stood at `343cr (annualised 4.0%), driven by higher slippages on the retail (~`140cr) and SME (~`140cr) front. Management has attributed the increase in slippages on the retail side to one-off employee-related issues that cropped up during the quarter, leading to slackness on the recovery front. During 1QFY2012, non-interest income declined by 17.2% qoq (up 6.4% yoy), mainly due to sluggishness in fee-related initiatives and recoveries on the retail side (recoveries were down by 42.6% qoq), as per management.

Outlook and valuation: Post the recent correction, the stock is trading at 1.1x FY2013E ABV. While lower leverage is leading to low RoE at present, the bank’s core RoA is relatively high and should improve further as asset-quality pressures start moderating. We recommend Buy on the stock with a target price of `478.

Super Sixer Equity Trading Tips

2010-12-22T02:44:00.000-08:00

According to the famous equity market investor Peter Lynch, the key to making money in stocks is not to get scared out of them. If you are new to equity trading or think that equity market is not your cup of tea, read on to discover six rules for investing smartly in the equity market!

1. Don’t buy stocks just because someone you know has recommended it! Before buying a stock, conduct preliminary research about the stock and the company. Read the financial statements and find out about the business, promoters and management.

2. Understand you risk tolerance level or how much risk you can take? Make investment in equity market based on your risk capacity.

3. Don’t wait for a correction to enter the market. More money is lost is waiting for market corrections to happen than in market corrections.

4. Do not panic when the equity market falls. Equity markets follow a cyclical trend and are influenced by many factors. The fundamentals and future prospects of the company do not change just because market undergoes a correction.

5. Be disciplined in equity trading. Create individual stop loss levels for all your equity investments based on the volatility of the stock. When the stop loss levels are hit, sell the stock instead of averaging it out at lower levels.

6. Don’t keep dud stocks in your portfolio in the hope that they will go up one day. Cut your losses and move ahead. Invest in some other stocks which will give you a better return in the same time frame.

Stick to these rules and invest smartly in the equity market!

Trade conveniently in stocks with Angel Broking

2010-12-13T21:24:00.000-08:00

Stock market is the unarguably the best way to build wealth in the long term. But, investors shy away from stock market as they perceive stock markets to be risky. However, it is very easy to invest in the stock market. Contrary to the popular belief, you do not need lakhs to invest in stock market. You can start with a minimal amount and invest regularly in stocks to build a strong portfolio in the long term.
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Angel Broking also provides free training to operate the trading platforms. Stock investing is indeed easy with Angel Broking!

Become a sub-broker

2010-04-27T23:36:00.000-07:00

Do you find stock market interesting? Do you have an entrepreneurial spirit and want to be your own boss? If yes, then join Angel Broking and be a part of the largest network of sub-brokers in India.

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Angel Broking provides undaunted support and guidance to its sub-brokers. It empowers the sub-brokers by providing them technological, sales and research assistance. It also conducts special training programs on a regular basis to develop their business skills and keep them abreast of what is happening in the market.

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Angel's Sub Brokership

2010-02-08T05:50:00.000-08:00

Become Angel's Sub Broker Today!

Life se Lifestyle Tak….Come and realize your dreams

2009-12-09T04:22:00.000-08:00

Angel Broking is one of the most respected stock-broking and wealth management companies in India. Recently, it was lauded with the “Best Retail Broking House” and “Broking House with Largest Distribution Network” in the Dun & Bradstreet Equity Broking Award for 2009. It offers various investment products and services like Equities, F&O, Commodities, Currencies, Online Trading, PMS, Investment Advisory, Insurance, Mutual Fund, Personal Loan, Fixed Deposits, IPO and Depository Services.
Angel Broking has a strong reach across the country with a nation-wide network of 21 regional hubs and presence in 155 cities. It derives its strength and success from its associations and partnerships. It has the largest sub-broker network in India with over 8,370 Sub-Brokers and Business Associates and 6.8 lakh retail clients.
Angel Broking offers various plans for Sub-Brokers according to their aspirations and budget.
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Minimum investment of Rs 1.5 lakhs is required to become a sit-in business partner of Angel Broking. It is ideal for people who have limited investment and need a place to start their business. Angel Broking provides exclusive space and trading terminals within Angel’s premises along with a specially designed training program to develop necessary business knowledge.
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Sub-broking in Angel: A prospective Business Association

2008-10-19T22:26:00.000-07:00

Sub-Broker

The significant growth in the clientele of Angel is credited to the entire team effort of this broking house. The sphere of the TEAM of Angel is wide enough to include the dedicated employees, the entire research and advisory team and mammoth network of sub-brokers.

Angel broking holds the foremost position in having the largest sub-broker network in NSE with 9,600 trading terminals. Such a vast network of sub-brokers was built in a single day. Years of consistent hard work made it happen. Angel, since its inception, has strove not only to acquire clients but also educate them about the unpredictable and volatile capital market. Similar approach has been noticed in case of the company’s attitude towards its sub-broker network.

Since a sub-broker is part of the Angel family, the responsibility of sharpening the marketing skills of a sub-broker falls in Angel’s part. This broking house has uninterruptedly performed this duty. The sub-brokers in Angel are imparted a comprehensive training program by the e-broking trainers. The sub-brokers in Angel broking form an integral part in terms of providing service; they are the gateway to a large number of clients where they represent the company itself. It is needless to say how much of domain expertise are demanded to carry on this crucial task.

Keeping in mind all these vital factors Angel has taken a seamless initiative to educate the sub-brokers. A ‘One Day Induction Program’ is being offered to the sub-brokers since June 2007. To have the uniformity in providing the training program, the programs are conducted both from the Central as well as regional offices. It is monitored that every single sub-broker of Angel irrespective of the region they are residing at gets the trained.

The topics covered in the Induction Programme are Corporate Presentation, Banking, DP/Demat, E-Broking, KYC, Risk Management, Technical Analysis, Mutual Funds and Insurance. These trainings are conducted by the faculties of the respective departments.

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